McCain Making A Late Charge
I'm intrigued by these numbers:
Could Obama actually win Virginia but then lose Pennsylvania? And is there any electoral math out there based on the Bush-Kerry breakdown that can have Obama overcoming the lose of Pennsylvania even if he picked up Virginia?
I think the Bush-Kerry map needs to be thrown out the window, and we are going to be seeing some weird things happen this year. I don't think Obama has ever lead McCain in Virginia by ten points, but I think it will end up percentage-wise broken down along the same lines as the Bolling-Byrne LG race. Why? I think that race, a conservative Republican from downstate vs. a liberal Democrat form upstate, is the best representation of where this state is generically. I think McCain wins Virignia by about as much as Bolling did percentage-wise. But who knows, I think Obama definatly can win the Old Dominion but we'll see.
I'm not sold PA is in our house yet either. That state has broken Republican hearts for years, but McCain seems to be the perfect candidate Republicans could have run in that state as he appeals too blue collar workers, veterans, and independents.
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