I'll comment on the Fimian numbers because that's the race I'm most familiar with. This poll has Keith up 42% to Connolly's 37%, while close to 21% are undecided. This has to be nothing but bad news for Connolly. The man has been running and winning elections for 20 years within this district and if there are still 21% undecided that means he's lost a lot of voters and its just up to Fimian to close the show in the next month. There is speculation in the comments section that Fimian has gotten to 50% in his own polling, but I have no idea if its true. Connolly has comimssioned an internal poll and hasn't released it. It tells me, given the circumstances of this election, that what they got back wasn't good. I know not everyone releases internal polling for various reasons but you would think Connolly would want to prove he is surviving the GOP wave and has momentum. Its telling that his every move hints that he knows he's down.
My only pause is, as Greg notes, Connolly's money. I just gave some, I hope you all will as well to get Fimian across the finish line. There are a ton of undecided voters and Fimian needs help to get all of them and it will take money to do it.