My Official 2012 Predictions

Take this to the bank!

(more below)

-I am predicting that President Obama will be reelected this Tuesday.  Why?  Frankly, he has more avenues to victory than Romney does, meaning Obama can lose more states and still win than Romney.  I'm not going to start picking states because frankly I'm not that good.  But I believe Barack Obama will win reelection by a very close margin.

-I am predicting Mitt Romney will win Virginia.

-I am predicting that George Allen will win the US Senate seat by a razor thin margin.  I believe that Allen's relentless attack on sequestration and Kaine's support of President Obama has effectively undercut Kaine's claims of bipartisanship.  I also believe that Kaine has run a rather soft campaign, he hasn't shown much fight.  The ads cut by Mark Warner that are airing now is a sign of weakness to me.  It will be very close, no doubt about it.  However Allen has been much more focused and his message more clear and refined.  Kaine is campaigning on plattitudes and vague promises of bi-partisanship.  Kaine has found a way blowing this by neither embracing nor rejecting Obama.  He's trying to have it both ways and its not working.  

-I am predicting Virginia's congressional delegation will not change.  All incumbents will be reelected.  

I almost didn't want to write this because now I'm sure I will be wrong.

Comments

[Dan]

I think you are correct about the president being re-elected. You may have wanted to wait for the result of the Redskins game for confirmation though. A 'Skins win means a Democratic victory. At least that is what history tells us.

[Ben M]

Thoughtful analysis.

[sucker don't think about it]

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[sucker don't think about it]

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