I've been following this race closely, and the closer I looked at it the more nothing seems as it is. When I think of the great tea party candidates of 2010 I think of two kinds of candidates . . . complete novices who were regular folks taking on the Establishment (Rand Paul), or a lower-level state or local office holder jumping way ahead in line to take on an entrenched RINO (Marco Rubio).
On the surface, Ted Cruz has the perfect pedigree for a classic Tea Party candidate. Young, aggressive, conservative and an impressive career as a lawyer. David Dewhurst, the incumbent Republican lieutenant governor since 2003, is the classic inside power-player. In Texas, apparently LG is more powerful than governor because that office controls the Senate and its committee chairmen. Dewhurst passes his own budgets, basically. He has been, according to a couple of sites I've found, Rick Perry's key ally and voter-getter in the state Senate. (Texas is weird because their Speaker is elected by the entire body, and the current GOP speaker overthrew an old bull with the help of Democrats).
So everything is set up. Cruz is the upstart, accomplished outsider fighting the incumbent RINO power of Dewhurst. There is one problem, though.
His name is Rick Perry.
Among the Republican Tea Partiers (as opposed to the more independent tea parties that came from the Ron Paul movement), Rick Perry is very, very, very popular. Its headquarters are places like RedState where Erick Erickson was the man that introduced Perry the day he announced for president. These guys LOVE Rick Perry, think his tenure as governor of Texas is the model to be followed by all conservatives, and to this day are bitter about the way he was "treated" in his presidential run. These folks on places like RedState are die-hard for Ted Cruz and have been since he started thinking about running for Attorney General (when it was thought that Perry might retire in 2010). The irony is that these guys all despise Ron Paul and its Paul, not Perry, supporting Cruz.
Rick Perry has endorsed David Dewhurst and done it big-time. Perry isn't doing it because he "has to," (like McDonnell and Bolling here in VA), but because he seems to really believe that Dewhurst is the best candidate for the job. Dewhurst has been his first lieutenant in every major issue Perry has tackled since 2003. Perry has cut ads and released a statement after the election last night that he still backs Dewhurst. The Dewhurst campaign's line is that any attacks on the LG goes through him and right at the Gov. For guys like Erickson, it’s hard to justify praising Perry for the last two years then turn around and tear down Dewhurst because they worked together on everything Perry accomplished.
The un-Tea Party aspect of Ted Cruz's campaign is its reliance to DC-based support and money. It's needed, because Dewhurst is a gazillionaire rancher with all the money man could want. He's also spent almost all his entire life in government . . . from law school to Supreme Court clerkships to being Texas solicitor general. I don't quite remember DC-based groups being the sole financial supporter of candidates in 2010 the way we are seeing in 2012 with guys like Cruz, Richard Mourdock, and Don Stenberg. Maybe they were, but Cruz has almost more support among the conservative intelligentsia outside of Texas than he does inside it.
And lastly, David Dewhurst is NOT a Charlie Crist or a Trey Grayson or a Dick Lugar. Dewhurst is responsible in the Senate for DOMA, Voter ID, and Tort Reform, a 1/3 cut in property taxes, and de-funding Planned Parenthood legislation. He's not a squish. Is he establishment? Sure. But he will surely be a very conservative senator.
This is what confounds the RedState types out there. A person who held Dewhurst's positions on the issues would get their support normally. Someone with Cruz's government background would generally be mocked. The guy being supported by Perry would be cheerleader against the "wacko" endorsed by Ron Paul. Yet here we are . . . the Republican Tea Party is turned into knots by David Dewhurst and Rick Perry.
It is amusing to watch, but there are clues to the future here. Are we seeing the Tea Party begin to over-shoot their targets? Are Republican Tea Partiers falling prey to the identity politics that we claim to hate (his last name is Cruz, in case you didn't get it)? Is David Dewhurst really worth this effort when there are so many other worthy targets?
I know it makes little sense for me to be blogging about this Texas Senate race, but it is fascinating. I suggest people check out the Burka Blog on the Texas Monthly site to keep up. There are reasons for all of this. I personally love it. I've grown tired of the Erick Erickson’s of the world telling us what the Tea Party supports and believes in while being employed by CNN. To me, at its best the Tea Party simply hundreds (if not thousands) of groups all across the country rising up against overreaching federal power and deep anger about deficits. Professional Republican hacks taking it over are a problem and we might be finally seeing that problem in Texas.
That being said, I am rooting and rooting hard for Ted Cruz because he will be a senator more interest in liberty than Mitch McConnell. It is a simple standard I live by. But if Dewhurst does win, America gets a much more conservative senator from Texas than either of the two we have now, he will just become part of the entrenched power instead of working to fight it.
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